Latest Polls Show Forrester – Corzine Race Tight
Politics NJ has two new polls for New Jersey’s Governor’s election and it looks as though as we head into the home stretch the race is tighter than a tick.
WNBC/Marist Poll
Corzine – 46 %
Forrester – 42 %
Fairleigh Dickinson University Poll
Corzine – 43 %
Forrester – 41 %
WNBC/Marist Poll
Corzine – 46 %
Forrester – 42 %
Fairleigh Dickinson University Poll
Corzine – 43 %
Forrester – 41 %
Posted by Enlighten-NewJersey @ 5:13 PM
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8 Comments:
The WNBC/Marist poll is a two day poll with a 9 point lead for Corzine. You're reporting the 4 point lead in Thursday's sample, but not the 13 point lead in Wednesday's sample.
408 were interviewed on Wednesday and 373 on Thursday. Using both, the margin of error is 3.5%. Otherwise, the MOE is 5%.
http://www.maristpoll.marist.edu/NJ/GV051104.htm
We are reporting the data on Politics NJ site. The WNBC/Marist poll notes "what a difference a day makes".
Why report information second hand? Go to the Marist website and get the first hand information-get it directly from the source. The Marist site shows Corzine with a nine point lead.
Politicsnj has updated their site with the real numbers...also, the Marist poll doesn't include leaners, as most every other poll does. With leaners, Corzine leads 48-43 on Thursday and 51-41 overall.
Wait until Sunday. A new Marrist poll is going to show a BIG change in this race.
Not sure what the Marist Poll is going to say, but a new Monmouth University poll has Corzine 47-38. It has the largest sample size and the smallest margin of error yet...and it started the day that Forrester's new ad came out (Wed) and continued two more days (Thurs and Fri).
Not sure how accurate this is, but Bluejersey.net has the new Marist poll at 48-42 Corzine. If so...not so much of a big shift.
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