"Knowledge will forever govern ignorance

 and a people who mean to be their own governors

 must arm themselves with the power which knowledge gives."

Wednesday, November 02, 2005

Jon Corzine's Big Surprise

Professor David Rebovich doesn’t think Doug Forrester can win the election because:

New Jerseyans are not about to support a Republican for Governor simply because of the bad job that the Democrats have done in Trenton. Nor are they willing to accept the claim that since Jon Corzine helped bankroll the campaigns of his fellow Democrats the last few years, he is directly responsible for the fiscal problems, high taxes, and ethical lapses in the State House.

Upwards of 60 percent of New Jerseyans do not like the direction the state is headed ... And, more New Jerseyans tell pollsters that they plan to vote for Democrats for Assembly than Republicans even though the Democrat-controlled state legislature is viewed favorably by only 30 percent of likely voters.
Rebovich believes Forrester can’t pick up enough votes in the suburbs to offset the urban vote because:

The underlying reality is that in the last decade the state's suburbs have become more Democratic. Many former urbanites, from diverse ethnic backgrounds and with college degrees in hand, have migrated to the suburbs where there are well-paying professional jobs, good public schools, and a quality housing stock.

These new suburbanites, many of whom are registered as unaffiliated voters, brought with them an array of attitudes that incline them to support Democratic candidates. These attitudes include the following. Belief in an activist government that is willing to address social and economic problems. Support for quality programs in such areas as education, the environment and open space, public safety, and children's and senior services. And, moderate to liberal views on abortion, gun control, and gay rights.
However, Rebovich believes if Corzine wins the election, he will be unpopular because:

But if Corzine is to be elected the state's next governor, it behooves him to start laying a foundation for the ambitious policy agenda he often mentions on the stump but rarely details. If not, New Jerseyans may be in for a big surprise when a Governor Corzine makes his inaugural address and proposes his first budget.

And Corzine himself may be in a for a big surprise when citizens, including many who voted for him, reject the new governor's policy agenda as something out of left field that was never adequately explained to them.

In the closing weeks of the campaign, it looks like it would pay for Corzine to run a few less ads attacking Forrester and a few more explaining what he really plans to do as governor.
So in a nutshell, Rebovich believes a majority of New Jerseyans will vote for Corzine because they reflexively vote for Democrats. Voters will blindly elect Corzine because they haven’t a clue about his policy agenda and the huge spending and tax increases he will spring on the state as Governor. How very comforting.

Don’t look for Corzine to run ads explaining what he “really plans to do as Governor”. He has spent tens of millions of dollars to fool the public into electing him and Corzine isn’t about to ruin his chances with the truth.

We will continue to hope the voters in New Jersey are more intelligent than Rebovich seems to believe. In the privacy of the voting booth the majority of voters might just decide to break their habit and vote for change. The surprise may very well be on Jon Corzine.


At 9:42 AM, Blogger Dave said...

And yet, Corzine is widening his lead to double-digits in the Quinnipiac poll and Forrester isn't breaking 40% in any poll.


Luckily for Forrester, something about Corzine is going to come out and change the shape of the race! Right?

At 10:23 AM, Blogger Enlighten said...

Dave, We hope the information will come out prior to the election. You're a reporter, wadda ya hear?

At 11:08 AM, Blogger Dave said...

I'm paying closer attention to the close Virginia race, and I don't really have sources in NJ. It does seem strange that none of the many media outlets covering NJ have pursued or even noted the "breaking scandals" on this blog.

At 11:28 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

This is why conservatives' only hope is that Corzine wins and mistakes his victory for some kind of mandate. When he starts governing as a leftist kook, that will clear the way for a conservative (Lonegan?) to oppose Corzine's foolishness, stand on principle, and win. It could mark the end of RINOism in New Jersey. If Forrester wins, on the other hand, he'll be another Whitman.

At 11:41 AM, Blogger Enlighten said...

Dave, Have your read The Inside Edge by the Anonymous Wally Edge, he’s mentioned these same issues we have? We linked to his website in one of our posts. Actually, he had the story before we did. We assume Wally Edge is a reporter with inside connections, so if he had the inside scoop three weeks before us, others in the media must have the information as well.

We are used to the bad news coming out after elections in New Jersey. It was our hope this time would be different.Time will tell.

As far as we are concerned, we believe Corzine should lose this election based upon his positions and agenda for the state. Taxpayers in New Jersey can no longer afford the “progressive agenda” and Corzine has put forward plans for major new spending by the state. If Professor Rebovich is right and voters will be voting for Corzine blindly, then none of this will have an affect on the race even if the tape, etc stories are reported in the media.

At 12:17 PM, Blogger Dave said...

The Inside Edge never "mentioned these same issues." You've linked to his posts on NJ history, and implied he was sending a wink-wink message about how some similar scandal - like Grover Cleveland's bastard son - was actually going to come out about Corzine.

At 12:55 PM, Blogger Enlighten said...

Okay Dave, if you think the Wally Edge piece was about “New Jersey History” and the title “the more things change, the more they stay the same” was something out of left field, what can we say? We received information and we posted that information exactly as received. Everyone is free to take it or leave it. Was our source wrong, feeding us bull – we think not.

But, this is what we do know. After McGreevey’s election, reports of his questionable deals began to be sprinkled in the media – one involved the code word Machiavelli. After McGreevey’s melt down, the media here in New Jersey, suddenly came out with all sorts of reports about his ethical lapses, long known in political and media circles. It wasn’t a stretch for us to believe history was repeating itself once again.

Now, we have a question for you. For a reporter that has no New Jersey sources, lives in Virginia and concentrates on Virginia politics, you sure have shown quite a bit of interest in New Jersey, Jon Corzine and our blog, why?

At 1:12 PM, Blogger Media In Trouble said...

I would ask the same question since this blog publishes nothing but rumors.

Enlighten.... TICK TOCK TICK TOCK...


At 1:33 PM, Blogger Dave said...

I saw one of the blogs (Daily Kos) linking to this site and starting checking it daily to see if there were anything to the rumors.

I've been disappointed.

At 1:52 PM, Blogger Enlighten said...

Dave, well thanks for dropping by and caring about New Jersey.

At 6:54 AM, Anonymous Sampson said...

Thanks for the article, very helpful information.
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