Republican Primary Poll
According to a SurveyUSA poll Doug Forrester is leading Bret Schundler 45% to 29%. These results were based upon:
Update: Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4%
6,000 New Jersey adults were interviewed 5/21-5/24, 5,103 of them were registered to vote. Of them, 1,723 identified themselves as being registered Republicans. Of them, 621 were judged to be "likely" Republican Primary voters. The poll results reflect the 621 "likely" Republican Primary voters.Is this poll reliable? We don’t know; no margin of error statistic was provided. We have noticed television ads for everyone but Schundler.
Update: Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4%
Posted by Enlighten-NewJersey @ 7:51 PM
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4 Comments:
SurveyUSA uses automated robo-polling, so their methodology's accuracy has been questioned...
Schundler can win this. His people are motivated and committed. They just need to get to the polls. June 7th. Bring your friends.
There's a DVD you can order that explains Bret's property tax revolution. You get 5 copies of the DVD to hand out, plus other activist tools. It's called the Ambassador program. Follow the link to see a clip from the DVD!!
This is a very good post by a Dem polling firm quoting one of DC's premeire political insider new publications on robo polling and Survey USA.
http://www.mysterypollster.com/main/2005/02/the_hotlines_su.html
sorry, i've forgotten my proper coding for links!
give it a read and draw you're own conclusions.
I've seen SUSA be dead on and dead wrong.
Anonymous, thanks for the link on SurveyUSA, it was a post well worth reading.
Margin of error is provided right on the poll you linked, as is the methodology. +/-4%. SurveyUSA has a very good track record: http://polipundit.com/index.php?p=1963. Torricelli tried to claim that it was not accurate in 2002 when SurveyUSA showed Forrester cleaning his clock, and as we now know, SurveyUSA was right on: http://www.politicsnj.com/murphy080602_polling.htm.
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