The latest Rasmussen poll
, conducted on August 28, has Tom Kean leading Bob Menendez 44 percent to 39 percent. Last week’s Fairleigh Dickinson
poll also favored Kean by a similar margin.
"New Jersey is considered a deeply blue state and this is a Democratic year. Menendez ought to be well ahead," said University of Virginia political scientist Larry Sabato, who is weighing whether to move the Kean-Menendez race from "leans Democratic" to "tossup" on his online political prediction site.
That is a move fellow handicapper Stuart Rothenberg of the Rothenberg Political Report made several months ago.
"It's simply a combination of an appointed senator, a less-than-popular governor who appointed him, a Republican with a good name and a Republican who has one of the hot issues of the cycle, which is ethics," Rothenberg said.
"If this was simply a way for New Jersey voters to send a message about corruption, I would write Menendez off today," Sabato said.
Who knows, maybe New Jerseyans will want to send a multipart message - No to unethical politicians, no to tax increases, no to amnesty and government benefits for illegal aliens and no to surrendering to Islamic fascists